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$1,867,230,198

490,493

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5

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"Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office
polymarket

How will "Sense and Sensibility" open?

Volume:
$31,768

7m-8m

 - Polymarket

7m-8m - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 5:08 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

7m-8m

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

8m+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6m-7m

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,667
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

5m-6m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4m-5m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<4m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to how much "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to how much "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Sense and Sensibility box office tracks the probabilities associated with different opening weekend revenue ranges. You can view the current odds, along with the price history and 24-hour volume, which is currently $2,436. The total volume traded on this market is $31,768. This allows traders to see how sentiment shifts as new information becomes available and understand the market's overall activity. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the opening weekend will land.

Currently, the prediction market suggests a high probability that the opening weekend box office for "Sense and Sensibility" will fall between specific ranges, as indicated by the trading activity. This differs from typical analyst forecasts, which often provide a single point estimate or a wider, less defined range. While analysts rely on historical data and studio projections, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially factoring in more nuanced or real-time information. It's important to note that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses in predicting entertainment revenue.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially reported opening weekend box office numbers for "Sense and Sensibility." These figures will be sourced from reliable industry data providers and will determine which outcome in this market is considered correct. Traders should monitor official sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the reported box office results.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Positive or negative reviews from prominent critics could shift sentiment and influence trading activity. Unexpected marketing pushes or viral social media trends could also drive increased interest and alter predictions. Furthermore, any news regarding distribution changes or competitor releases could affect expectations for the Sense and Sensibility box office. Tracking these factors will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026.