TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 26, 2026, where the combined goal total scored by both teams during the first 45 minutes is evaluated.
Resolution is determined by the total goals scored by Senegal and Iraq during the first half of their FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored during the first half count toward this market; goals in extra time or penalties do not apply.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader belief about first-half scoring in the Senegal vs Iraq match, often incorporating real-time team news, injury reports, and tactical adjustments faster than traditional analyst models. Analysts typically publish pre-match forecasts based on historical data and statistical models, while market prices adjust continuously as new information emerges. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to published analyst predictions can reveal where the crowd sees edge or where consensus differs. Discrepancies may signal undervalued or overvalued outcomes relative to expert consensus.
On Kalshi, the Senegal vs Iraq: First Half Total market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their belief in first-half goal outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform displays bid-ask spreads, allowing traders to enter at their preferred price or accept market rates. Pricing reflects the collective assessment of Senegal and Iraq's attacking prowess, defensive vulnerabilities, and match context. As match kickoff approaches and live data updates, prices typically tighten and shift to reflect new information, team lineups, or weather conditions.
The Senegal vs Iraq: First Half Total market resolves at Jun 26, 2026, marking the end of the first half and official close of trading. Resolution is determined by the actual number of goals scored during the first 45 minutes of regulation play in the match. Once the first half concludes, the outcome is verified against official match records and the market settles accordingly. Traders holding positions aligned with the final first-half goal count receive payouts, while opposing positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to key forwards or defenders, and pre-match tactical disclosures. Weather conditions at kickoff—rain, wind, or extreme heat—can influence pace and scoring likelihood. Early match momentum, referee decisions, and unexpected goals in the opening minutes will drive sharp repricing. Betting syndicates and professional traders often move markets on new information, so watch for sudden volume spikes or price swings. Social media sentiment, expert commentary, and live commentary during the match itself will also influence trader conviction and order flow.