TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 26, 2026, where the goal differential between the two teams at halftime is assessed.
This event covers first-half goal differential outcomes in the Senegal vs Iraq FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 26, 2026. Resolution is based exclusively on goals scored during the first half; goals in the second half, stoppage time beyond the first half, extra time, or penalties do not count. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. The event resolves to Yes if either team achieves a margin exceeding 1.5 goals during the first 45 minutes of play.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader expectations and real money at stake, often differing from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on team statistics, recent form, and expert judgment, prediction markets incorporate live information and incentivize accuracy through financial reward. For the Senegal vs Iraq first-half spread, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to published analyst predictions can reveal where the market consensus diverges from expert opinion, helping bettors identify potential value.
On Kalshi, the Senegal vs Iraq first-half spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of a specific spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing implied probability. As match details, team lineups, and betting action emerge, Kalshi prices adjust dynamically. The market remains open until resolution, allowing traders to enter, exit, or adjust positions throughout the trading window.
The Senegal vs Iraq: First Half Spread market resolves on Jun 26, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official first-half point spread result between Senegal and Iraq at the end of the first half of their match. The specific spread threshold and outcome criteria are defined in the market contract terms. Traders should review the full market rules to understand exactly which spread outcome triggers each resolution state.
Several factors may shift the Senegal vs Iraq first-half spread market before resolution. Team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments can alter expected performance. Pre-match betting patterns and sharp money flowing into one side may signal informed positioning. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent head-to-head history can influence trader sentiment. Real-time match events—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive price movement as the first half unfolds and traders reassess probabilities.