TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 7:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Senegal wins by 2 or more goals against USA during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for May 31, 2026, 19:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that Senegal wins by exactly two goals or more. The price moves based on order flow and trader positioning, with buyers and sellers negotiating the implied odds in real time. As match day approaches and new information emerges—such as team news, weather, or historical head-to-head patterns—the Limitless price adjusts to reflect updated market expectations. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to shifting sentiment.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, following the conclusion of the Senegal vs USA match. Resolution is determined by the final score: if Senegal wins by two or more goals, the outcome resolves affirmatively; any other result—including a Senegal win by exactly one goal, a draw, or a USA victory—resolves negatively. Official match records from the governing football authority establish the final scoreline used for settlement.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury reports to star players, and recent form in qualifying or friendly matches. Tactical shifts, coaching changes, or public statements from managers can shift trader expectations about Senegal's attacking prowess or the USA's defensive resilience. Historical head-to-head results, home-field advantage, and weather conditions on match day all influence the probability of a two-goal margin. Late-breaking news hours before kickoff—such as unexpected lineup changes or player absences—typically triggers sharp price movements as traders reassess the likelihood of a decisive Senegal victory.