TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
During the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, this event concerns which player will score the first goal for Senegal (excluding own goals).
First goalscorer markets for Senegal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup track which player scores the first legitimate goal for the country. Own goals are excluded from consideration; if the first goal credited to Senegal is an own goal, resolution is based on the next goal that is not an own goal. Goals scored during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time all count toward these markets, but goals during penalty shootouts do not. Each player who does not score the first qualifying goal resolves to No regardless of whether they participated in any match. If no player from Senegal scores a goal throughout the tournament, the No Goalscorer market resolves to Yes. All other players listed resolve to No in that scenario.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on historical scoring records, form, and tactical analysis, market prices incorporate live betting sentiment and information flow. For Senegal: First Goalscorer, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities against expert predictions and team lineup announcements can reveal whether the market is pricing in recent player injuries, tactical shifts, or emerging form changes that analysts may not have fully weighted.
The Senegal: First Goalscorer market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official match record: whichever player scores the first goal in the designated Senegal fixture will be the winning outcome. All other player contracts resolve to zero. If the match ends goalless or is abandoned under force majeure, resolution rules specific to Kalshi will apply. Traders should monitor official team lineups and any match postponements as the event date approaches.
Key catalysts for Senegal: First Goalscorer include official team lineup announcements, injury reports to star strikers, tactical formation changes, and opponent strength. Recent player form, goal-scoring streaks, and penalty-taking duties can shift market prices significantly. Weather conditions and pitch quality on match day may also influence early-game dynamics. Breaking news about player availability, suspension status, or last-minute tactical adjustments typically triggers sharp repricing. Monitor official Senegal Football Federation announcements and team social media for updates that could alter scoring probabilities.