TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 7:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Martineau and Gonzalo Villanueva in the Segovia, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Gonzalo Villanueva. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Villanueva' if Gonzalo Villanueva advances against Matteo Martineau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Martineau and Gonzalo Villanueva in the Segovia, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Gonzalo Villanueva. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Villanueva' if Gonzalo Villanueva advances against Matteo Martineau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect aggregated trader sentiment rather than set bookmaker probabilities. In this market, the trader-driven price may show sharper movements around key news, such as player injuries or weather updates, while sportsbooks may adjust more conservatively. Comparing both can reveal where public speculation diverges from institutional betting lines.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively set prices through their bets, which determine the implied probability of each outcome. The current top outcome reflects the consensus view among participants, with its chance displayed as a percentage. Volume and recent trade activity also influence pricing dynamics, allowing rapid shifts when new information emerges about the competitors or match conditions.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, which is compared against the market’s defined payouts. Traders can track confirmed sources as the event date approaches to anticipate any last-minute changes that might affect the final settlement.
Injuries, weather updates, or changes to the match venue could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Key moments such as pre-match media appearances, training updates, or shifts in betting trends may also cause price volatility. Monitoring news feeds and expert analysis can help identify potential catalysts that affect the odds as the event draws closer.