TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the point differential of an upcoming professional football game between Seattle and Washington. It covers various possible margins of victory for either team, providing a range of outcomes based on how many points one team wins by. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
The market resolves based on the point differential between Seattle and Washington in their full game, including overtime, scheduled for September 27, 2026. If Washington wins by exactly 0, 1 to 6, 7 to 14, or 15 or more points, the respective market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Seattle wins by 1 to 6, 7 to 14, or 15 or more points, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Each outcome is determined solely by the margin of victory, with no other conditions affecting the resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, though they represent a different mechanism for forecasting the result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins in the Washington vs Seattle football game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific margin occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly informative and liquid market for forecasting the game's outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin of the Washington vs Seattle football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the relevant sports authorities. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual winning margin falls within the range specified by each contract. Traders will be able to claim their winnings shortly after the official result is confirmed.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Washington or Seattle teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence predictions. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can drive trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also move the market as traders adjust their expectations for the Washington vs Seattle football game.