TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team's defense can stop the opponent's offense behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether either team reaches certain thresholds of these defensive plays during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of sacks recorded by either Seattle or Washington during the game scheduled for September 27, 2026, excluding any sacks made during 2-point conversion attempts. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of sacks for a given team (e.g., 2+, 3+, etc.), and resolves to 'Yes' if that team's total meets or exceeds its threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches, and can sometimes provide opportunities for value betting – identifying situations where the market price differs significantly from your own assessment of the probability. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing beliefs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded in the Seattle vs Washington game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verification. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and the data is confirmed.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Injury reports for key offensive linemen or defensive players on either team would be significant, as they directly impact the likelihood of sacks. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be windy or rainy, could also play a role, potentially affecting passing plays and therefore sack opportunities. Any news regarding coaching strategies or changes in defensive schemes could also shift trader sentiment and move the market. Finally, late-breaking news or analysis regarding team performance could also cause fluctuations.