TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many field goals each team scores. The outcomes depend on whether a team achieves a certain number of successful field goals during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals scored by each team in the Seattle vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold for the number of field goals a team must score for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. The thresholds vary, covering different minimum numbers of field goals for both Seattle and Washington.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with—and sometimes diverging from—sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that differ from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. It's a good practice to compare both to gain a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different field goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The current top market, as indicated by trader activity, is Washington to score 4+ Field Goals. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available to participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of field goals scored by both the Seattle Seahawks and the Washington team during the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official stats are released.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key players on either team—specifically the kickers or offensive players who contribute to field goal opportunities—could significantly shift the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor or hinder kicking, would also be impactful. Late-breaking injury reports, coaching decisions affecting offensive strategy, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis could all contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on changing expectations.