TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game, tracking whether he achieves various levels of receiving yardage. The outcomes depend entirely on the player's statistical production during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether Jaxon Smith-Njigba achieves specified receiving yard thresholds in the Seattle vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If Smith-Njigba is active but does not take any snaps, markets settle at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once he takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by penalty — all markets settle solely based on the total receiving yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage threshold markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on pre-season expectations, this market can adjust rapidly to account for injuries, weather forecasts, and other late-breaking news that impacts the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total receiving yards will fall above or below a specific threshold. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the fair value, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential receiving yardage in this game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yard totals for both the Seattle and Washington teams are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics from the game will be used to determine the total receiving yards, and that number will be compared to the market's threshold to determine which side of the market wins. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key wide receivers or tight ends on either team—such as injuries, changes in playing time, or favorable/unfavorable matchups—would likely cause movement. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be windy or rainy, could also impact passing game strategies and therefore the receiving yard totals. Even late-breaking news about defensive schemes or changes in quarterback performance could shift trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts in this market.