TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This event tracks whether specific players achieve a minimum longest reception distance during a football game between Seattle and Washington. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on the longest pass they receive and convert into a gain during the match.
The event determines if any of the listed players records a longest reception exceeding their specified yardage threshold in the Seattle vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a reception longer than the set threshold, that market resolves to Yes. If a player is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolution depends solely on whether their longest reception in the game exceeds the specified yardage. All markets operate independently, and the governing league’s official statistics will be used to determine outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals assessing the probability of each player achieving the longest reception. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of this event, though they represent different approaches to forecasting.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by game statistics, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game data and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the Seattle versus Washington game. The outcome will be determined by the longest single reception recorded during the game, regardless of the down or distance.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding player injuries to key receivers for either team would likely cause shifts in the odds, as would updates on weather conditions that might favor a particular passing or running game strategy. Changes in quarterback performance or play-calling tendencies could also influence traders’ beliefs. Even late-breaking reports on player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the prices for each player in this market. Any significant development related to the offensive capabilities of either team has the potential to move the market.