TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many passing touchdowns Marcus Mariota throws in a specific NFL game between Seattle and Washington. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of touchdowns, allowing participants to speculate on the exact scoring performance of the quarterback during that contest.
All three markets focus on Marcus Mariota’s passing touchdowns in the Seattle vs Washington NFL game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if Mariota meets or exceeds a specific touchdown threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+). A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if Mariota is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once Mariota takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based strictly on the number of passing touchdowns he records during the game. These rules ensure clarity in settlement, whether Mariota participates minimally or extensively, and emphasize that settlement is based solely on in-game performance once he has entered the game.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting biases. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows participants to express their own informed opinions, leading to prices that can diverge from, or converge with, those found at sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets adjust more quickly to new information and potentially offer more competitive odds as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the likely number of passing touchdowns in the Seahawks-Washington game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored by both the Seattle and Washington teams during the game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data sources, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Seahawks or Washington, particularly quarterbacks or wide receivers, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor running or passing offenses, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive matchups could lead to shifts in market sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.