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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Seattle vs Washington: Passing Completions
kalshi

Seattle vs Washington: Passing Completions

Volume:
$6,885

Marcus Mariota: 18+

 - Kalshi

Marcus Mariota: 18+ - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 4:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marcus Mariota: 18+

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,616
N/A
N/A
$1,472
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 19+

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,539
N/A
N/A
$1,468
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 14+

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,507
N/A
N/A
$1,294
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 24+

100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,428
N/A
N/A
$1,364
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcus Mariota: 13+

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcus Mariota: 23+

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$647
N/A
N/A
$628
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The same game will also measure Mariota's efficiency by counting how many passes he successfully completes. Analysts will monitor his accuracy and decision-making throughout the contest, as these completions could influence the game's flow and scoring.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the number of passing completions recorded by Marcus Mariota in the Seattle vs Washington Professional Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If Mariota is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once he takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the outcome depends solely on the total completions he achieves during the game. The markets have three tiers: resolving to Yes if Mariota records 13+, 18+, or 23+ passing completions.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of forecasters. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes exceeding the performance of traditional polls or analysts. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on informed trading activity. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to offer accurate predictions, as profitable traders can earn rewards based on the accuracy of their forecasts. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions for both the Seattle Seahawks and Washington Huskies will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final, verified outcome of the passing completions during the game.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Seahawks or Huskies, particularly the quarterbacks or their primary receivers, would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor either a passing or running game, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any pre-game analysis or reports suggesting a change in offensive strategy for either team could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Public sentiment and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks may also indirectly influence this market.