TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:24 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often a quarterback attempts passes during a football game between Seattle and Washington. The outcome depends on whether the player reaches specific thresholds of pass attempts. Special rules apply if the player doesn't take any snaps.
All markets resolve based on whether Marcus Mariota records a specified number of passing attempts (25+, 30+, or 35+) in the Seattle vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If Mariota is active for the game but never takes a snap, all markets settle to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Mariota takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets settle based strictly on the total passing attempts he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the attempt level specified.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from sportsbook odds which are initially set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or attempt to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that traders collectively believe the sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, or that they possess information not yet reflected in those odds. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing attempts by each team during the game will be used to determine the winning contract. Official game statistics from a recognized sports data provider will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the data is confirmed, and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either the Seahawks or the Huskies would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing volume. Furthermore, coaching staff announcements about game strategy or personnel decisions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, public perception and any late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could all contribute to fluctuations in this market.