TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks combined run production during only the first five innings of the Seattle vs Washington game on June 12, 2026. Bettors predict whether the total runs scored by both teams in the early portion of the game will exceed various thresholds.
The Seattle vs Washington game scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT will be evaluated for combined runs scored during the first five innings only. Resolution occurs when the first five innings are completed, with separate outcomes corresponding to whether the combined total exceeds 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, or 6.5 runs. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game has finished, within two days. Each threshold represents an independent outcome; if 4 runs are scored in the first five innings, all outcomes at 3.5 runs or below resolve to Yes, while outcomes requiring 4.5 runs or more resolve to No.
Prediction market odds on platforms like Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed opening odds. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and manage risk; prediction markets update continuously as new information arrives and participants trade. This market may offer sharper or stale pricing depending on how actively traders are monitoring the Seattle-Washington matchup and adjusting their positions. Comparing the two can reveal whether consensus leans bullish or bearish on the first-five-innings run total relative to professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders for shares representing different run-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of demand to supply at any moment, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity. As new data—such as starting pitcher announcements, lineup changes, or real-time game events—becomes available, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to evolving conditions leading up to and during the first five innings.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the first five innings of the Seattle-Washington game are complete and the combined run total can be verified. The outcome is determined by the official final score through the end of the fifth inning, confirmed against credible public sources such as MLB records or major sports data providers. Early resolution may occur if the game is called or suspended before five innings are played, depending on league rules. Traders should monitor game status and any weather or scheduling updates that could affect timing.
Key catalysts include starting pitcher announcements, lineup changes, and injury updates for either team, all of which affect offensive and defensive capability in the early innings. Weather conditions—wind speed, temperature, and humidity—influence ball carry and scoring pace. Real-time game events such as early runs, errors, or momentum shifts during the first five innings will trigger rapid repricing as traders react to live action. Betting market activity and sharp money flowing into competing sportsbooks can also signal informed opinion and prompt traders to adjust positions on this market.