TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event centers on the margin of victory should either team win. Analysts will focus on team strategies, player form, and historical performance to gauge the likelihood of dominant wins, with particular attention to whether Seattle or Salt Lake can secure a decisive advantage.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Seattle or Salt Lake wins the MLS game scheduled for Sep 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. For Seattle, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if they win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals. For Salt Lake, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if they win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each market specifies a different threshold for victory margins, allowing participants to evaluate varying degrees of dominance. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the MLS or governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. As new information emerges – such as injury reports or team news – this market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events, as traders weigh various factors and express their informed opinions. Comparing the two can reveal where the public and expert opinions diverge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Seattle vs Salt Lake spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific spread occurring. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions align with the final outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning it shifts as more traders enter and exit positions, constantly refining the perceived probability of various outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the game between Seattle and Salt Lake, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will then settle based on whether the actual spread falls above or below the contract price purchased by traders. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the real-world outcome of the sporting event.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Seattle or Salt Lake would likely cause price movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Major shifts in public perception, reflected in polls or expert analyses, may also influence trading activity and move the price of the Seattle vs Salt Lake spread.