TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 6:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Seattle and Queretaro, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Different thresholds for goal differences determine various outcomes.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes based on the goal differential in the Seattle vs Queretaro professional Leagues Cup soccer match scheduled for August 9, 2026. All resolutions occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded. Four distinct conditions are considered: Seattle winning by more than 2.5 goals, Seattle winning by more than 1.5 goals, Queretaro winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Queretaro winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each condition corresponds to a specific resolution (Yes) if met, with the match’s official result determining which, if any, condition is satisfied. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets let traders bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on recent performance, injuries, or shifting momentum.
This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official game result, and the market settles based on that verified difference in points or goals.
Injuries, lineup changes, or weather updates for either team could shift this market sharply before Aug 10, 2026. Momentum swings during the match itself—key goals or red cards—will also drive rapid price adjustments. Media narratives and expert analysis in the days ahead may influence trader sentiment, while any last-minute coaching decisions could reshape expectations for the spread outcome.