TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming soccer match by winning by a margin of more than 1.5 goals. It specifically tracks performance in the initial 45 minutes of play, ignoring any events that occur in the second half. The outcome depends solely on the goal difference between the two teams during that timeframe.
The event determines whether either Seattle or Queretaro will win the first half of their Leagues Cup soccer match by more than a 1.5 goal margin. If Seattle achieves this dominant first-half performance, the market resolves positively for Seattle. Conversely, if Queretaro secures a first-half victory by the required margin, the market resolves positively for Queretaro. Only goals scored in the first half count toward the outcome. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will instead resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions at that time.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in nuances not captured by sportsbooks, such as deeper analysis or real-time developments. The current chance percentage shows how Kalshi participants collectively view the likely outcome before Aug 9, 2026. This can create opportunities where prediction markets and sportsbooks differ significantly, reflecting varied market dynamics and participant behavior.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous trading, leading to dynamic odds that adjust with new information. The top outcome’s chance percentage represents the aggregated view of all participants, reflecting factors like team performance trends, player injuries, and tactical analysis. Volume of $7,203 indicates overall interest, while 24-hour volume of $7,177 shows recent activity levels. This pricing mechanism allows for rapid adjustments as the event approaches Aug 9, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual first-half score difference between the teams, which will be compared against the market’s spread to settle all positions.
Several key signals could impact this market before Aug 9, 2026. Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions might shift trader sentiment. High-profile performances in preceding matches or media coverage highlighting team strengths could also influence odds. As the match date nears, any updated analytics or expert predictions may cause rapid price movements. Traders will watch these developments closely, adjusting positions based on new information that affects the perceived likelihood of outcomes.