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Seattle vs Portland
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What is the result of Seattle vs Portland?

Volume:
$2,824,882

Portland

 - Kalshi

Portland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 12:50 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Portland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,256,776
N/A
N/A
$643,477
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,051,548
N/A
N/A
$729,237
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$516,557
N/A
N/A
$339,807
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Seattle will defeat Portland in their scheduled MLS soccer match. On Kalshi, Seattle victory is priced at 99.0%, while a Portland win or draw is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026. Watch for team news and lineup confirmations as the July 16, 2026 match date approaches, as injuries or roster changes could shift the heavily favored outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Seattle vs Portland MLS match scheduled for July 16, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty procedures. The match has three possible outcomes: a Seattle victory, a Portland victory, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established procedures.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders wagering real money on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new developments unfold. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader betting public and prediction market traders disagree, potentially highlighting value or consensus blind spots in how each venue prices the matchup.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares tied to each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that result, ranging from near-zero to near-certain. As new trades execute, the price updates in real time, allowing you to enter or exit your position at the prevailing market rate. Kalshi's transparent pricing mechanism means you always see the current consensus odds without hidden spreads or intermediary markups.

This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the matchup concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official game records. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds shift with team news, injuries, or other developments. Once resolved, all positions settle according to the confirmed result, and traders receive payouts based on their holdings.

Key player injuries, roster changes, or unexpected trades could significantly shift odds in this market. Recent team performance, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage often influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and rest days leading up to game day may also trigger price movements. Breaking news about coaching decisions, lineup adjustments, or off-field developments can cause rapid repricing. Traders actively monitor sports news and social media for any catalyst that might affect the matchup outcome, so staying informed helps you anticipate market swings.