TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either team will score a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs New York Y professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for Yes is 40.0%, with resolution based on the game's official result. The key catalyst to watch will be the game itself, scheduled for August 13, 2026, which will determine whether a first-inning run is scored.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven by trader sentiment rather than set by oddsmakers. While sportsbooks may factor in historical data and team performance metrics, prediction markets incorporate real-time betting patterns and can shift more quickly with new information. This can create pricing divergences, especially as game-day conditions like weather or starting pitcher changes arise.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on whether either team scores at least one run during the first inning of the game. Once the inning concludes and official scores are published, the market will close and settle according to the observed result.
Key signals that could shift this market include updates on starting pitchers, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and any pre-game injury announcements. If the expected starting lineup changes dramatically, or if weather delays alter the game’s start time, traders may adjust their positions. Additionally, early betting trends on Kalshi can create momentum swings, especially as the first pitch approaches.