TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines if either team in the Seattle vs New York Y professional baseball game, planned for August 11, 2026, will score a run in the first inning. The appearance of any run by either competitor in this initial segment will settle the market affirmatively. The game is timed for 7:05 PM EDT as part of its structured event details.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because traders can directly bet on the specific outcome of scoring in the first inning. While sportsbooks may offer broader game-based bets, this market isolates the early-game momentum, sometimes showing wider or narrower implied probabilities depending on recent team performance and starting pitcher stats.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends purely on which team scores the first run in the first inning of the game, as recorded by official scorekeepers and reported through trusted sports news outlets.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, recent performance trends for the teams’ offenses and pitching staffs, and any last-minute lineup changes. Injuries or weather delays that affect the game’s start time can also create volatility, as traders adjust their expectations about early-game dynamics right before the first pitch.