TOTAL VOLUME:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:12 PM EST
Kalshi
Seattle and Minnesota will face off in an MLS match where the focus is on whether both clubs can score a goal during the standard playing time of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result depends purely on each team putting at least one ball into the opponent's net, with own goals counted for the team they are credited to.
If Seattle and Minnesota both score a goal in the Seattle vs Minnesota MLS match originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the difference. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets often incorporate information not readily available to sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Seattle vs Minnesota match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Seattle and Minnesota teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final price of the contracts on Kalshi at the time of resolution will determine payouts to traders who held positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Seattle or Minnesota would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the likelihood of goals being scored. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable soccer analysts predicting a high-scoring game could drive up the price. Finally, significant trading volume on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, could also cause price movements.