TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 8:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either the Seattle or Milwaukee team will score a run in the first inning of their professional baseball game scheduled for August 18, 2026. On Kalshi, the current probability of the leading outcome is 43.0%. The resolution source is the game's first inning result on the scheduled date. Watch for the game on August 18, 2026, as this is the event that will determine the market outcome.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 18, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader submissions that set the probability of each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate sentiment of participants, with volume of $943,169 indicating overall interest. Prices update dynamically as new trading activity occurs, capturing the collective view of market participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by which team scores the first run in the first inning of the game, as officially recorded in the box score.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, weather delays or changes, lineup updates, and any pre-game injury reports. Traders will also watch early-batting practice performance and any last-minute strategic shifts by managers that might hint at a more aggressive or conservative approach in the first inning.