TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 1:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between Seattle and Los Angeles scheduled for July 30, 2026. On Kalshi, the current probability for Seattle to win is 96.0%, with Los Angeles at 4.0%. The resolution source is the game's official result. Watch for the game on July 30, 2026, as this is the event that will determine the market outcome.
The event determines the winner of the professional baseball game between Seattle and Los Angeles originally scheduled for July 30, 2026, at 10:10 PM EDT. If Seattle wins, the Seattle market resolves to Yes, and the Los Angeles market resolves to No. Conversely, if Los Angeles wins, the Los Angeles market resolves to Yes, and the Seattle market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original date, both markets remain open until the game concludes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, both markets will resolve to a fair price based on the circumstances. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader range of outcomes and can shift more rapidly based on trader activity. While sportsbooks may set fixed lines, this market allows continuous repricing as new information emerges, potentially offering sharper or more nuanced insights into trader confidence. The difference can be especially noticeable around key events or surprises that impact betting patterns.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through a continuous double-auction process, where buyers and sellers agree on prices for contracts representing possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, adjusting in real time as participants place bets. This mechanism captures the collective wisdom of Kalshi users, with the top outcome’s chance percentage updating constantly based on market activity.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game result, and the market settles based on whether Seattle or Los Angeles meets the defined criteria for the D market. No additional interpretation is needed beyond widely accepted public records.
Injuries to key players, coaching changes, or shifts in team performance can all influence this market. Major trades, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and even high-profile public statements from players or coaches may cause rapid repricing. As the contest approaches, any update that changes the perceived likelihood of Seattle or Los Angeles winning could trigger significant movement in odds and trading volume.