TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
The Seattle versus Los Angeles A game will similarly be watched closely for its opening inning. Any run scored by either side before the first inning concludes will meet the specified benchmark for resolution.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as the market’s collective prediction may diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether a run will be scored in the first inning. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of a 'Yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of a first inning run.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether a run was scored during the first inning of the game between Seattle and Los Angeles. Official game statistics will be used to determine the final result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the outcome is officially confirmed, allowing for the settlement of all outstanding contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding starting pitchers, key player injuries, or weather conditions could shift expectations. Significant changes in batting lineups or pre-game analysis from baseball experts could also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments during batting practice or even early reports on field conditions might prompt traders to adjust their positions. The market will continuously react to new information as it becomes available, making it a dynamic reflection of evolving probabilities.