TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 11:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in an upcoming professional football game between Seattle and Kansas City. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the Seattle vs Kansas City Pro Football game scheduled for August 28, 2026. If Kansas City wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold—for example, more than 16.5, 14.5, or any lower incremental point difference—the corresponding 'Kansas City wins by over X points' market settles as Yes. Conversely, if Seattle secures a victory by a margin greater than the stated threshold—such as over 1.5, 2.5, up to 16.5 points—the respective 'Seattle wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, meaning each evaluates its own condition separately. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a blend of sharp and public money, sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate heavier adjustments for sharp players, prediction markets let retail traders set prices freely, which can lead to tighter spreads or unexpected moves based on betting trends and public sentiment.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through active buying and selling of contracts that represent possible point spreads. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of which team is likely to cover the spread, adjusted for market supply and demand. As new game previews, player injuries, or weather forecasts emerge, these factors can shift trader expectations and consequently alter the market price.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared to the spread line to determine which side of the market is correct. Official game results from recognized sports authorities serve as the basis for settlement, ensuring an impartial and transparent process for all participants.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategies, and evolving weather conditions could all shift this market. Additionally, strong pre-game analyst commentary or significant betting trends may influence trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any update that alters the perceived likelihood of a particular point spread will likely cause price adjustments, reflecting the latest information available to market participants.