TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 10:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Seattle and Kansas City specifically during the third quarter of their scheduled football game. It focuses solely on how much one team outscores the other in that single quarter, ignoring the rest of the match.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential between Seattle and Kansas City during the third quarter of play in their Pro Football game scheduled for August 28, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the required point margin, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, with separate thresholds for both teams winning the quarter. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward resolution, and all markets operate independently—meaning a single game's third-quarter outcome could resolve multiple markets depending on the size of the winning margin for either team.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced, trader-driven outlook compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets incorporate real-time trader sentiment and can shift more quickly with new information or game momentum, especially for in-game segments like the third quarter.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader input to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects collective trader expectations about the 3rd quarter scoring margin between the teams. Volume of $7,196 shows overall interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $2,508 indicates current activity levels. Traders adjust positions based on shifting perceptions of team performance, game dynamics, and any emerging news that might affect the quarter’s outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential from the third quarter of play will settle the market, closing all contracts based on the actual on-field result.
In the time leading up to Aug 29, 2026, several factors could shift this market. Key player injuries or lineup changes may alter scoring potential for either team. Strategic adjustments by coaches, especially regarding offensive or defensive approaches in the third quarter, can also influence the spread. Media narratives and pre-game polls may sway trader sentiment. Finally, broader game momentum — such as early leads or momentum swings — often impacts quarter-specific expectations and can cause rapid shifts in market odds before resolution.