TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will win the second half of a women's professional basketball game between Seattle and Golden State, excluding any overtime periods. It provides three possible outcomes: Golden State winning the half, Seattle winning the half, or the teams being tied at the end of the half. The resolution depends solely on the regulation-time performance during the specified half.
If Golden State is the winner of the second half (not including overtime) of regulation time in the Seattle vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seattle is the winner of the second half (not including overtime) of regulation time in the Seattle vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the second half (not including overtime) of regulation time in the Seattle vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a team is undervalued by sportsbooks, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team performance and potential. It’s common to see this market offer a different perspective than traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a team will win the second half. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their predictions, creating a constantly evolving assessment of each team’s chances.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team will be determined by the official score at the end of the second half of the game. The platform will then verify the result against official sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first half of the game will also be a major catalyst, as traders react to the unfolding events. Furthermore, broader NBA news, such as trades or suspensions, could impact perceptions of team strength. Even social media buzz and expert analysis can contribute to price movements, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions before this market resolves.