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Seattle vs Cleveland: First Inning Run
kalshi
predict

Seattle vs Cleveland: First Inning Run

Volume:
$99,987

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 7:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$97,775
N/A
N/A
$70,157
Settled
No
predict

Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$2,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group contains two distinct markets about the Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB game. The 'predict' platform market resolves on the full-game winner, while the 'kalshi' platform market resolves on whether either team scores in the first inning only. These are fundamentally different events with different scopes and timing windows.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The two platforms define fundamentally different events. predict settles on full-game winner; kalshi settles on first-inning run occurrence. Additionally, scheduled game times differ between platforms (June 28 vs June 27, 2026).Hero tip: Treat these as two separate markets with independent resolution logic. The predict market outcome (Mariners or Guardians win) does not determine the kalshi market outcome (whether a run scores in inning 1). Verify the correct game date and time before the event occurs, as the date discrepancy (June 27 vs June 28) may indicate a data entry error or game reschedule.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Full-game moneyline resolution. Resolves to Seattle Mariners if they win the full game, Cleveland Guardians if they win the full game. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. Primary source: official final statistics from governing body or credible consensus within 24 hours.
  • kalshi: First-inning prop resolution. Resolves to Yes if either team scores a run in the first inning only. No mention of postponement, cancellation, or tie handling. Game scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT (date differs from predict platform).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate on distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus and continuous price discovery. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially as new data surfaces or trader participation shifts. Comparing both sources helps identify value opportunities. However, prediction market prices can be more volatile and less liquid than established sportsbook lines, so traders should account for slippage and bid-ask spreads when executing larger positions.

Several catalysts can shift odds before the game begins. Injury announcements affecting key hitters or pitchers will influence run-scoring expectations significantly. Weather updates—particularly wind direction and temperature—impact ball carry and offensive output. Line-up changes or late-inning bullpen adjustments announced closer to game time often trigger repricing. Recent team performance streaks and head-to-head historical trends also drive trader conviction. As game time approaches, any breaking news about player availability or field conditions can create sharp moves. Monitoring sports news feeds and team social media in the hours before first pitch helps traders stay ahead of market shifts.