TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Seattle vs Cleveland: First Inning Run
kalshi
predict

Seattle vs Cleveland: First Inning Run

Volume:
$74,059

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 7:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$72,905
N/A
N/A
$60,529
Settled
Yes
predict

Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
N/A
N/A
—
$659
$1,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group contains two distinct markets about the Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB game scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET. The Predict platform market resolves on the full-game winner, while the Kalshi platform market resolves on whether either team scores in the first inning only. These are fundamentally different settlement events despite referencing the same underlying game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The two platforms are settling fundamentally different events: Predict resolves on full-game winner, while Kalshi resolves on first-inning scoring activity. Additionally, Kalshi's terms lack explicit handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.Hero tip: Do not hedge these markets against each other—they measure different outcomes. If trading Kalshi's first-inning market, monitor early game conditions and pitcher matchups separately from full-game winner dynamics. Request clarification from Kalshi on their postponement and cancellation procedures before committing significant capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Full-game winner market. Resolves to Seattle Mariners or Cleveland Guardians based on final game result. If postponed, remains open until completion. If canceled with no makeup or ends in tie, resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: First-inning scoring market. Resolves Yes if either team scores a run in the first inning only. No explicit language addressing postponement, cancellation, or tie scenarios. Quote: 'If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 27 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on a different mechanism than traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting fixed lines, traders on platforms like Kalshi and Predict continuously buy and sell shares, with prices reflecting live consensus probability. Sportsbooks adjust lines based on liability and action flow, while prediction markets aggregate distributed trader beliefs. This can result in meaningful differences: prediction markets often price niche outcomes more efficiently because traders specialize, whereas sportsbooks may shade lines for profit margins.

Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally produces price variation. Kalshi and Predict may also have slightly different market designs—order book depth, minimum bet sizes, or settlement rule clarity—that influence how traders value the same outcome. Additionally, timing lags in information flow between platforms and differences in user base expertise can widen spreads, especially in lower-volume markets where fewer trades anchor the price.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmation, and any late roster changes or injuries affecting either team's offensive capability. Weather conditions at game time—wind direction and temperature—can significantly influence early scoring probability. Real-time momentum during pre-game warmups and early at-bats may also shift trader sentiment. Breaking news on player availability or unexpected pitching changes in the hours before first pitch typically triggers sharp repricing as new information reaches the market.