TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 6:54 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled to take place at a specific time and date. The event focuses on whether either team will score during the opening inning of this matchup. This is a common occurrence in baseball, as teams attempt to gain an early advantage in the game.
On Kalshi, the Seattle vs Baltimore first inning run market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that at least one run scores in the first inning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the contract settling at 100 cents if a run occurs or 0 cents if it does not. The current price reflects accumulated trader positions and new order flow, updating continuously as game time approaches and new information emerges about lineups or conditions.
The Seattle vs Baltimore first inning run market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, shortly after the first inning concludes. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run is scored by either team during the first inning of the game. Once the inning ends and the official score is recorded, the market settles based on that result, and traders receive payouts according to their positions.
Several factors can shift the market price before resolution. Lineup announcements, particularly the starting pitchers and key hitters for both teams, significantly influence first inning scoring probability. Weather conditions, field state, and recent team performance in early innings also matter. Injury reports or late roster changes can alter expectations. As game time approaches, any breaking news about pitcher form, bullpen availability, or team strategy may trigger price movement. Real-time updates during pre-game activities typically drive the final adjustments before first pitch.