TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional baseball teams compete in a game scheduled for June 11, 2026, with outcomes based on the run differential between teams during the first five innings.
This event tracks the run differential during the first five innings of the Seattle vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. Markets measure whether Baltimore or Seattle leads by margins exceeding 1.5 or 2.5 runs at the end of five innings. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game finishes within two days.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance liability; prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants. For the Seattle vs Baltimore First 5 Spread, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional and casual predictors disagree on the likely outcome, helping identify potential value.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Seattle vs Baltimore First 5 Spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the spread outcome will occur. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% probability increment. Traders buy or sell contracts based on their conviction; the market price aggregates all buy and sell orders at any moment. Volume and bid-ask spreads on Kalshi indicate liquidity and confidence around this specific prop.
Key catalysts for the Seattle vs Baltimore First 5 Spread include injury reports to star offensive or defensive players, weather conditions on game day, and recent team performance trends. Lineup changes, coaching adjustments, and Vegas line movements often precede prediction market shifts. Breaking news about player availability or game circumstances can trigger rapid repricing as traders update their probability estimates. Monitor team news and pregame analysis closely for signals that may shift this market.