TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$85,014,378

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,695,592

394,774

Markets across

30,069

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,615

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Seattle vs Austin: Spread
kalshi

Seattle vs Austin: Spread

Volume:
$143,036

Austin wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Austin wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Austin wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,449
N/A
N/A
$20,976
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,666
N/A
N/A
$26,836
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,072
N/A
N/A
$26,885
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,850
N/A
N/A
$4,996
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market focuses on the margin of victory in a professional soccer match between Seattle and Austin. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. Outcomes are determined solely by regular-time scoring, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential between Seattle and Austin in their MLS match scheduled for August 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcome thresholds define resolution: Seattle winning by more than 2.5 goals, Seattle winning by more than 1.5 goals, Austin winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Austin winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met for the respective team, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. No resolution occurs for outcomes falling outside these thresholds, including draws, wins by exactly the margin, or results determined during extra time or penalties. The governing rules explicitly state that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league or its entities.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating a broader range of trader sentiment and data inputs. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytical models and historical trends, prediction markets allow participants to continuously adjust positions based on evolving information and real-time betting activity.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the odds through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their collective view of the likely point differential. The current implied probability reflects the chance of each possible outcome, adjusted for market depth and recent trading activity. Volume of $143,036 supports these prices, showing how much capital is backing each side. This decentralized pricing captures a broad range of opinions from participants.

This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result will reflect the verified point spread from the game, closing all positions based on that definitive number. Until then, traders can adjust positions as new information emerges, but the final settlement is tied exclusively to the publicly confirmed score difference.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions could shift expectations for team performance and move this market. Media narratives and pre-game polls may also influence trader sentiment, especially if one side is favored in the headlines. As the event nears, any update to team lineups or venue conditions can cause rapid adjustments in odds and volume on Kalshi.