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Seattle vs A's: First Inning Run
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Will there be a run in the first inning?

Volume:
$170,333

Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning

 - Kalshi

Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 10:04 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$170,333
N/A
N/A
$122,280
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

The event centers on a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing specifically on the first inning. Attention is on whether any scoring occurs during this initial period of play. The outcome depends solely on the events unfolding in the early stages of the match.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first inning run market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of over 0.5 runs in the first inning fluctuates as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $170,066, and the total volume traded is $170,333. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the Seattle versus A's game. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how the market is assessing the likelihood of early scoring.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing information, risk tolerance, and market dynamics. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Seattle and A's matchup. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights for informed decision-making.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether more or less than 0.5 runs are scored in the first inning of the Seattle versus A's game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the final result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses, as any scoring in the first inning will directly impact the market's outcome.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding starting pitchers, such as injuries or late scratches, would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions at the game location, particularly wind or rain, could also impact scoring expectations. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from baseball experts and public sentiment on social media can influence trader behavior. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding key players’ form or potential lineup changes could shift the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market related to the Seattle and A's game.