TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:49 AM EST
Kalshi
An extended professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled for a specific evening. The game's duration will be closely watched to determine if it goes beyond the standard regulation time. This occurrence would mark an unusual extension of the planned contest.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Seattle vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a broader range of information and participant perspectives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective wisdom of many traders. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market differ from those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when accounting for factors not easily quantifiable by traditional methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and the spread between the buy and sell prices indicates the current level of uncertainty surrounding the event.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Seattle vs A's game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine whether the game went to extra innings or not. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and records, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders who correctly predicted whether the game would go to extra innings will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding starting pitchers, key player injuries, or weather conditions impacting the game could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup changes or in-game performance during the early innings might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large-volume trades from individual participants or groups could create short-term price swings. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.