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404,028
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Closed: Sep 20, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tory Horton will score two or more touchdowns in their game against the Arizona Cardinals. Currently, the probability of Tory Horton scoring 2+ touchdowns is 3.0%, while the probability of him scoring 1+ touchdowns is 1.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Tory Horton scores at least one touchdown in the Seattle vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the originally scheduled game date of September 20, 2026, and will be settled based on the final stats from that fixture.
Both markets resolve based on whether the respective defensive units score at least one touchdown in the specified game. If a defensive unit is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a unit takes at least one snap — even if that play is later nullified by a penalty — the market outcome is determined by whether the unit ultimately scores a touchdown during the game. This applies independently to both the ARI Cardinals D/ST and SEA Seahawks D/ST markets.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, like team statistics and player injuries. This market, however, aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders, leading to prices that can sometimes diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially incorporating it faster than sportsbook odds, which may be slower to adjust.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. Higher prices suggest a greater likelihood of that outcome, while lower prices indicate a lower likelihood. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Seattle versus Arizona game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts associated with their contracts following the conclusion of the game and verification of the official statistics.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Seahawks or the Cardinals would likely cause price movement. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the scoring potential. Major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could also affect trading activity. Finally, any in-game developments during the game itself, like early scoring drives or defensive stops, could lead to rapid adjustments in the market price.