TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. Bettors can speculate on the likelihood of either team surpassing various yardage milestones during the match.
The event evaluates multiple offensive yardage thresholds for both Seattle and Arizona in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the respective team records the specified total offensive yards (ranging from 250 to 450 yards). All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, they remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent but interconnected through these shared conditions, allowing participants to assess varying levels of offensive performance risk and reward for each team across different yardage benchmarks.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, but may adjust less quickly to new information. This market, driven by traders on Kalshi, incorporates a broader range of perspectives and reacts dynamically to news and sentiment. While sportsbooks may focus on implied probabilities based on scoring, this market represents a direct assessment of the total yards outcome, potentially revealing different insights than traditional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of the total yards falling at or below that level. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific yardage total, the price increases, indicating a growing belief that the actual total will be lower. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down, suggesting expectations of a higher total. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and forecast the outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yards for both the Seattle Seahawks and the Arizona Cardinals, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome. The market will settle based on the combined official yardage statistics, providing a clear and objective resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their predictions were accurate after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Injury reports for key players on both the Seahawks and Cardinals—particularly quarterbacks and top receivers—would significantly impact expectations. Weather forecasts, especially regarding wind or rain, could affect passing and rushing yardage. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or changes in offensive schemes could also shift the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market.