TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing performance thresholds for specific players in an upcoming football game. It examines whether designated players achieve various yardage milestones during the match, offering multiple benchmarks for comparison.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing yards accumulated by the specified player in the Seattle vs Arizona professional football game originally scheduled for September 20, 2026. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual rushing yards recorded during the game. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., 15+, 20+, up to 120+ yards), and resolution is binary: 'Yes' if the threshold is met or exceeded, 'No' otherwise. The markets are independent, and performance is evaluated solely on rushing yards, without regard to other factors such as touchdowns, receptions, or game outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting action, but this market allows traders to continuously update their predictions based on new information and analysis. While sportsbooks set odds based on their models, this market aggregates the views of many individuals, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news affects the perceived probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders can earn money by correctly anticipating the final rushing yard total. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available, and trading volume indicates the level of confidence in various outcomes. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential rushing yardage for the Seahawks and Cardinals.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics released by the relevant sporting authority. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions on Kalshi after the resolution process is complete. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either the Seahawks or Cardinals would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts that could impact the running game. News regarding offensive line changes or coaching strategies could also shift expectations. Unexpected player performance in prior games, or even pre-game analysis highlighting a shift in team focus, could all contribute to price movements. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team prioritizing a run-heavy offensive approach has the potential to move this market.