TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The market focuses on predicting whether specific players will achieve certain reception thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each outcome represents a different player and a minimum number of receptions they need to reach for the market to resolve positively. The event is centered around performance metrics of individual players during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official game statistics for receptions recorded by specified players in the Seattle vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual number of receptions recorded. Each market has a unique threshold (e.g., 2+, 3+, etc.) for a specific player, and the market resolves to Yes only if the player meets or exceeds that threshold. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or analytical approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the Seattle Seahawks versus Arizona Cardinals game are verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of receptions by all players in the game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the definitive source for this information, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any resulting payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official stats are released.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing game strategies and therefore reception totals. Additionally, late-breaking news about team tactics or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also trigger price fluctuations as they express their views on the likely outcome of the game.