TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 28 points in an upcoming football game between Seattle and Arizona. It includes scenarios where either team achieves this milestone or if neither team reaches the target score throughout the entire game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines the outcome based on which team scores the 28th point first in the full game, including any overtime. If Arizona reaches 28 points before Seattle, the Arizona market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Seattle reaches 28 points before Arizona, the Seattle market resolves to Yes. If neither team achieves this milestone at any point during the game, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring a balanced and transparent resolution under all possible scenarios.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure a profit, while this market is driven purely by traders predicting the outcome. Often, you’ll find that this market incorporates information and perspectives not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks, potentially leading to different probabilities assigned to each team reaching 28 points. However, it’s also common to see convergence as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Seattle or Arizona will reach 28 points first. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the points race. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team reaches 28 points first during the designated game. The final score will be used to verify the winner of the points race. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the Seattle vs Arizona points race market. Key player injuries on either team would likely cause shifts in the odds, as would any major changes in team strategy or coaching decisions. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even weather forecasts predicting conditions favorable to one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could impact trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market.