TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, determining whether specified participants achieve certain fantasy point thresholds using a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR fantasy scoring system applied to the full game (including overtime) between Seattle and Arizona scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market specifies a player or team unit (D/ST) and a numeric threshold; the market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified entity exceeds its threshold. Players or units that do not participate or lack a published fantasy-point value from Sleeper are treated as scoring zero points. The official Sleeper fantasy-point total at market expiration is used without post-expiration adjustments or rounding. Scoring includes passing/rushing/receiving yards and touchdowns, kicking points, defensive/special teams contributions (such as sacks, interceptions, and touchdowns), and penalties for interceptions, missed kicks, and fumbles. Defensive units also receive points based on opponent scoring ranges.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. As more information becomes available – like injury reports or weather forecasts – this market can react more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential fantasy point totals. The price of a contract indicates the market's probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange positions, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. Higher demand for a particular outcome drives its price up, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total combined fantasy points scored by all players participating in the Seattle Seahawks versus Arizona Cardinals game will be used to determine the result. The official fantasy point totals from a major fantasy sports provider will serve as the basis for the resolution. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Seahawks or Cardinals would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in player matchups, weather forecasts affecting passing or running games, or even late-breaking news about team strategies could also influence trading activity. Unexpected developments in player performance during the week leading up to the game, or even pre-game reports, could shift the market’s assessment of the likely total fantasy points scored.