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Closed: Sep 20, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
Seattle and Arizona are each required to score points in the fourth quarter of regulation during their matchup. Only regulation-time points count for this quarter-specific condition, with overtime scores not included.
If Seattle and Arizona both score points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Seattle vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges, such as injury reports or weather forecasts. However, as the event approaches, there's often convergence between prediction market prices and those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced as a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether both the Seahawks and Cardinals will score in the 4th quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' contract represents the probability of both teams scoring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders believe both teams will score, the price of the 'yes' contract increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Seattle Seahawks and the Arizona Cardinals score at least one point during the fourth quarter of the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams met this condition. The final score will be verified against credible public sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Key injuries to starting quarterbacks or key offensive players on either team would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect scoring potential. Late-breaking news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also move the market. Furthermore, any public statements from players or coaches about their offensive approach could influence trader sentiment and, consequently, the price of this market.