TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Seattle vs Arizona: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Seattle vs Arizona?

Volume:
$174,060

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

 - Kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 5:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,586
N/A
N/A
$36,491
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trey McBride

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,770
N/A
N/A
$25,634
Settled
No
kalshi

Jadarian Price

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,587
N/A
N/A
$25,315
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Barner

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,500
N/A
N/A
$11,052
Settled
No
kalshi

Tory Horton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,814
N/A
N/A
$10,814
Settled
No
kalshi

Cooper Kupp

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,436
N/A
N/A
$10,114
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeremiyah Love

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,581
N/A
N/A
$8,715
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,805
N/A
N/A
$7,805
Settled
No
kalshi

SEA Seahawks D/ST

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,434
N/A
N/A
$4,424
Settled
No
kalshi

Marvin Harrison Jr.

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,198
N/A
N/A
$4,074
Settled
No
kalshi

Kendrick Bourne

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,145
N/A
N/A
$4,125
Settled
No
kalshi

Drew Lock

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,067
N/A
N/A
$4,057
Settled
No
kalshi

Rashid Shaheed

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,584
N/A
N/A
$3,544
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Wilson

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,359
N/A
N/A
$2,339
Settled
No
kalshi

George Holani

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,211
N/A
N/A
$2,200
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacoby Brissett

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,906
N/A
N/A
$1,906
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Allgeier

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,796
N/A
N/A
$1,756
Settled
No
kalshi

Elijah Arroyo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,708
N/A
N/A
$1,698
Settled
No
kalshi

Emanuel Wilson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,282
N/A
N/A
$1,272
Settled
No
kalshi

Elijah Higgins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$873
N/A
N/A
$873
Settled
No
kalshi

ARI Cardinals D/ST

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
$352
Settled
No
kalshi

Eric Saubert

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
No
kalshi

Hunter Long

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
Total markets: 23

Description

This event tracks which team or category will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game between Seattle and Arizona. It includes possibilities for either team's defense scoring or no touchdown being scored at all during the game.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the Arizona Cardinals defense, the Seattle Seahawks defense, or No Touchdown will score the first touchdown in the professional football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If either defensive unit scores the first touchdown, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If no touchdowns are scored by either team throughout the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes. For markets involving defensive units that are active but do not take a snap, settlement occurs at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a defensive unit takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on whether they score the first touchdown. If neither team scores any touchdowns during the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all other player markets resolve to No. The settlement mechanism ensures clarity regardless of game dynamics, including scenarios where teams or defensive units do not participate in plays.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first touchdown market tracks the current price of each potential player to score the first touchdown, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $156,241 and the total volume traded to date of $174,060. You can also view a price history chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. This allows you to analyze market sentiment and identify potential value in predicting which player will reach the endzone first in this matchup between Seattle and Arizona. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly set prices based on their own assessments. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence the early movement in this market. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant betting volume accumulates, as differing information and opinions are weighed by bettors on Kalshi.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player scoring the first touchdown. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of that outcome. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to own one unit of exposure to that outcome, and it fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, following the conclusion of the Seattle versus Arizona game. The outcome will be determined by which player officially scores the first touchdown, as verified against credible public reporting of the game results. The official game statistics will be the basis for confirming the winning outcome in this market. Any scoring plays subject to review will be resolved based on the final ruling from the official game authorities. The market will then settle accordingly, distributing payouts to contract holders.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift the probabilities. A key player being ruled out would likely cause a substantial movement in the odds for their teammates and opponents. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated sportsbook lines can also influence trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed bettors could create momentum and drive price changes as the game approaches. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.