TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 10:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Seattle Sounders FC and Portland Timbers, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC score more goals than Portland Timbers in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Seattle Sounders FC and Portland Timbers score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Portland Timbers" if Portland Timbers score more goals than Seattle Sounders FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Seattle Sounders FC and Portland Timbers, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC score more goals than Portland Timbers in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Seattle Sounders FC and Portland Timbers score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Portland Timbers" if Portland Timbers score more goals than Seattle Sounders FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders spot value the books have missed. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential mispricing opportunities for sharp bettors.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker and order-book mechanism, with each outcome represented as a tradable contract. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of all active traders at that moment. As new information arrives—team news, injury reports, or live match developments—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains efficient and responsive to changing circumstances throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score reported by the league or authoritative sports data providers. Resolution occurs after any review periods or official confirmations are complete, ensuring accuracy. Traders should monitor the match closely as the resolution window approaches to stay informed of any developments that might affect the final determination.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—can shift market prices significantly before kickoff. Early first-half performance often influences second-half expectations, as fatigue, momentum, and score position shape how each team approaches the remainder of the match. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and historical head-to-head patterns may also influence trader positioning. Live match developments, such as goals, red cards, or substitutions, typically trigger sharp repricing as traders update their probability estimates in real time.