TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 10:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Seattle Sounders FC and Portland Timbers, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Seattle Sounders FC and Portland Timbers, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to price outcomes. In this market, the exact-score format creates a unique dynamic: sportsbooks typically offer limited exact-score betting, whereas prediction markets allow granular pricing across dozens of possible scorelines. Comparing this market's odds to traditional sportsbook offerings reveals how decentralized trading can surface probabilities that conventional bookmakers may not emphasize, offering traders alternative perspectives on match outcomes.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker and order-book mechanism, where each exact-score outcome is a separate contract. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects strong conviction among participants, though prices shift continuously as new information and trading flow arrive. You can place limit or market orders to buy or sell shares at your preferred odds, and the platform's fee structure incentivizes tight spreads. Real-time price discovery means that breaking news, team injuries, or lineup announcements can quickly reshape the odds across all possible scorelines.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the Seattle Sounders and Portland Timbers match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, and the market will settle to the contract corresponding to that result. All other exact-score outcomes expire worthless. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their payout based on the odds at which they entered their positions.
Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts—can significantly reshape odds in this market. Preseason form, head-to-head history, and recent league standings often influence trader expectations about goal-scoring patterns. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and even betting-market activity on related markets (like moneyline or over-under totals) can trigger repricing. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking roster updates or unexpected team changes typically drive the sharpest moves. Monitoring sports news and social media in the hours before the match often reveals catalysts that move exact-score probabilities.