TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers?

Volume:
$1,003,624

Portland wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Portland wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 12:46 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Portland wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$228,089
N/A
N/A
$116,914
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Portland Timbers

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$157,853
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Portland wins by more than 1.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$113,993
N/A
N/A
$48,112
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Seattle Sounders FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196,604
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$170,221
N/A
N/A
$90,921
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114,659
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,205
N/A
N/A
$11,396
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers MLS match scheduled for July 16, 2026. Aggregated data from Kalshi and Polymarket shows Portland Timbers win at 100.0%, based on official MLS Soccer schedule and scores as the resolution source. Watch for any match cancellations or postponements announced before July 17, 2026, the resolution date estimate, as cancellation logic differs across platforms and may trigger divergent settlements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi differ on cancellation handling and explicit postponement language. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation; win markets resolve NO. Kalshi goal-differential markets lack cancellation clauses entirely.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket draw and win markets as separate settlement regimes in a cancellation scenario. For Kalshi, assume the market remains open pending rescheduling per standard sports betting practice, but confirm with the platform. Prioritize official MLS schedule updates.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary markets (Seattle Win, Draw, Portland Win) all reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Win markets resolve NO on cancellation with no make-up; Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up. Postponed matches remain open. Primary source: official MLS statistics within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Four goal-differential markets (Seattle >2.5, Seattle >1.5, Portland >1.5, Portland >2.5) reference the match as 'originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026' and specify 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Settlement logic is conditional on goal margin only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Thursday, July 16, 2026 between Seattle Sounders FC and Portland Timbers.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final goal differential in the Seattle vs Portland MLS match scheduled for July 16, 2026, calculated after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The margin is computed as the winning team's goals minus the losing team's goals. Outcomes are structured to cover decisive victories: Seattle winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, Portland winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves Yes only if the actual margin meets or exceeds its specified threshold in the indicated direction.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Sounders vs. Timbers match, allowing you to monitor real-time odds and trading volume as the event approaches. Each platform hosts its own set of related outcomes—some focused on match winner, others on goal differentials or specific scorelines. By tracking both venues side by side, you gain insight into how different trader communities price the same underlying event, revealing consensus views and identifying where disagreement exists. The aggregated volume across platforms shows overall market interest and liquidity depth.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover prices. Prediction market odds often reflect longer-term sentiment and can diverge from sportsbook lines, especially when sharp bettors identify value. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree. However, prediction markets typically offer tighter spreads and more granular outcome options, making them valuable for traders seeking alternative pricing signals on this match.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically triggers sharp price movement, especially for key players. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions closer to kickoff can shift trader sentiment. Major betting syndicates or informed traders entering the market with large positions often signal conviction and can move odds significantly. Public sentiment shifts, media narratives, and betting exchange activity on other platforms may also influence prices. Monitor team social media, official announcements, and sports news outlets for developments. Late-breaking information in the hours before the match often produces the most volatile repricing as traders update their models with fresh data.