TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 12:46 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers MLS match scheduled for July 16, 2026. Aggregated data from Kalshi and Polymarket shows Portland Timbers win at 100.0%, based on official MLS Soccer schedule and scores as the resolution source. Watch for any match cancellations or postponements announced before July 17, 2026, the resolution date estimate, as cancellation logic differs across platforms and may trigger divergent settlements.
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Thursday, July 16, 2026 between Seattle Sounders FC and Portland Timbers.
Resolution is determined by the final goal differential in the Seattle vs Portland MLS match scheduled for July 16, 2026, calculated after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The margin is computed as the winning team's goals minus the losing team's goals. Outcomes are structured to cover decisive victories: Seattle winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, Portland winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves Yes only if the actual margin meets or exceeds its specified threshold in the indicated direction.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover prices. Prediction market odds often reflect longer-term sentiment and can diverge from sportsbook lines, especially when sharp bettors identify value. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree. However, prediction markets typically offer tighter spreads and more granular outcome options, making them valuable for traders seeking alternative pricing signals on this match.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically triggers sharp price movement, especially for key players. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions closer to kickoff can shift trader sentiment. Major betting syndicates or informed traders entering the market with large positions often signal conviction and can move odds significantly. Public sentiment shifts, media narratives, and betting exchange activity on other platforms may also influence prices. Monitor team social media, official announcements, and sports news outlets for developments. Late-breaking information in the hours before the match often produces the most volatile repricing as traders update their models with fresh data.