TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market concerns which team, Seattle Sounders FC or Minnesota United FC, will score more goals in the second half of a Major League Soccer (MLS) match. A 'Draw' outcome is possible if both teams score the same number of goals in the second half. The markets specify resolution based on official statistics, with fallback sources if official data is unavailable.
In the upcoming MLS game between Seattle Sounders FC and Minnesota United FC, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC score more goals than Minnesota United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Seattle Sounders FC and Minnesota United FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC score more goals than Seattle Sounders FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between Seattle Sounders FC and Minnesota United FC, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC score more goals than Minnesota United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Seattle Sounders FC and Minnesota United FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC score more goals than Seattle Sounders FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Different user bases, varying trading fees, and distinct market-making strategies all contribute to these differences. Polymarket may attract more sophisticated traders, while Predict might have a broader range of participants with varying levels of expertise. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform – currently $492 overall – influence price discovery. Even with a general consensus, these nuances can lead to temporary divergences in the perceived probabilities for the Sounders vs. Minnesota second half.