TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between the Seattle Sounders FC and Minnesota United FC. The market considers only goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming match between Seattle Sounders FC and Minnesota United FC, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Seattle Sounders FC and Minnesota United FC, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the aggregated insights of informed traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market’s prices are driven by real money at risk. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities shift more rapidly in response to new information or changing sentiment, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of various outcomes in this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume typically leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the platforms may have slightly different rules or fee structures that influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket favors neither team to score first at 98%, while Predict leans toward the same outcome. These differences highlight the value of observing multiple prediction markets for a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes.