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Seattle Sounders FC vs. Chicago Fire FC - First Team to Score
kalshi
polymarket

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Chicago Fire FC - First Team to Score

Volume:
$103,978

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 7:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$102,899
N/A
N/A
$94,772
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Seattle Sounders FC

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,069
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chicago Fire FC

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the first team to score in the upcoming Seattle Sounders FC vs. Chicago Fire FC match scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, focusing exclusively on goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental scope misalignment between platforms - Polymarket markets address soccer match first goal resolution while Kalshi market references a baseball game entirely unrelated to the stated event groupHero tip: Only trade Polymarket markets for this soccer event. The Kalshi market appears mislabeled and will resolve based on baseball game rules unrelated to Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on first goal in Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with clear rules for postponed/canceled games and exclusion of extra time/penalty shootouts. Key quote: "This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded."
  • Kalshi: References Seattle vs Toronto professional baseball game first inning runs despite event group title referencing Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC soccer match. Key quote: "If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire FC, scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chicago Fire FC" if Chicago Fire FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Seattle vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the first goal scorer market dashboard provides a live view of how traders across platforms are pricing the chances of each team scoring first. This aggregates betting data from multiple venues, showing the current consensus and volume of $103,978. The dashboard updates in real time, letting users see how market sentiment shifts before the match. Because this market combines inputs from different prediction markets, it offers a unique cross-platform perspective on which team fans and traders expect to find the net first.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to varied participant dynamics and pricing mechanisms. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader analytics and risk management, prediction markets let traders vote with their dollars, which can create sharper or more volatile prices. For example, if traders on Polymarket believe an underdog has a better chance to score first than conventional wisdom suggests, the implied probability may shift accordingly. This divergence allows bettors to compare valuations and potentially find value across different platforms.