TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Seattle Sounders FC vs. Chicago Fire FC
kalshi
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Volume:
$2,705,747

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$533,558
N/A
N/A
$264,401
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Seattle Sounders FC vs. Chicago Fire FC)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$48,899
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$27,602
$13,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

CHI

16%
26%
Yes 16¢No 84¢
—
$1,213
$16,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago Fire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,276,464
N/A
N/A
$857,695
Settled
No
polymarket

Chicago Fire FC

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

SEA

2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$400
$20,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$580,027
N/A
N/A
$240,568
Settled
No
polymarket

Seattle Sounders FC

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether the Seattle Sounders FC versus Chicago Fire FC MLS match will end in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0% across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, with resolution based on official MLS statistics. The match window closes on August 29, 2026, and markets will resolve based on the official result declared that day.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical resolution logic for match outcomes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of cancellations and postponementsPrimary resolution logic: Official MLS statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties)
  • Use MLS official statistics as primary source, with credible reporting as backup if MLS fails to publish within 2 hours
  • Postponements keep markets open until completed; cancellations resolve based on specific market rules

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the rescheduled match date is completed
  • Cancellation: Seattle win markets resolve No, Chicago win markets resolve No, Draw markets resolve Yes (Predict and Polymarket draw market only)
Timing: Within 2 hours after the match concludes, using official MLS statistics or credible reporting consensusOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, August 29, 2026 between Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire FC.

Kalshi

The event covers the Seattle vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game scheduled for August 29, 2026, resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Seattle, a win for Chicago Fire, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours from the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within the standard match duration.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, August 29, 2026 between Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire FC.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the MLS match-up market aggregates activity across platforms, showing real-time consensus and divergence in trader sentiment. It visualizes how Polymarket and Kalshi price this market, highlighting total volume of $2,705,747 and 24-hour volume of $2,563,282. This view helps users spot trends and compare expectations for the upcoming fixture.

Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or tactical changes by coaches can shift expectations and move this market. Also, early goal momentum in the match may cause rapid adjustments in odds. Media narratives and betting trends on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect these real-time developments, influencing trader sentiment.